4b47
0xe9c21d08f1b7d3ff68784b24302cb351af9e6556
- Realised P&L
- $-52.37
- Volume
- $107.5k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $50.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $41.09 | −$73.94 |
| Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song in the US this week? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.40 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 1? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.37 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 1? · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $1.34 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1? · Yes | 0.994 | 1.000 | $1.34 | +$0.01 |
| Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song in the US this week? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.28 | +$0.00 |
| Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song in the US this week? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.27 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 1? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.26 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.33at 0.005Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$1.56at 0.985Will Biden pardon Edward Snowden?
- +$0.19at 0.533Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.14at 0.998Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?
- +$0.10at 0.999Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 06:54 | Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song in the US this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.28 |
| 07-01 06:54 | Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song in the US this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.40 |
| 07-01 06:53 | Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song in the US this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.27 |
| 07-01 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.9929997148 | $1.33 |
| 07-01 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.33 |
| 07-01 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.37 |
| 07-01 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.26 |
| 05-02 17:23 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0069999998 | $34.62 |
| 05-02 17:22 | Will "Straight to Hell: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.20 |
| 05-02 17:21 | Will "Million Dollar Secret: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.20 |
| 05-02 17:20 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.80 |
| 05-02 17:19 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.80 |
| 05-02 17:17 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 2? | BUY | 0.989 | $1.35 |
| 05-02 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.26 |
| 03-30 07:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |