PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe9bd8defd5ed467516422defa293bcabeb4ad5bb

Realised P&L
$-4.03
Volume
$99.35
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$4.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 13:31Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$1.02
08-09 01:08Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?BUY0.9599996272$1.03
08-04 19:48Will Matt Orlando win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election?BUY0.9869999969$1.27
08-04 19:47Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?SELL0.965$1.07
08-04 19:47Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?BUY0.971999172$1.08
07-20 23:26Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?BUY0.9499998119$1.01
07-16 01:04Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$0.99
07-16 01:04Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9699991164$1.01
07-11 04:17Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?SELL0.023$0.44
07-11 04:17Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?SELL0.05$0.73
07-11 04:17Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?BUY0.0542852817$1.03
07-11 04:17Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?BUY0.0699999389$1.02
07-07 17:29Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.5$0.59
07-07 17:09Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.886$0.98
07-07 11:55Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9589995555$1.07