MuG3Nx
0xe9b582fda6f88eb7ee20e7f5313d1cffae397f00
- Realised P&L
- $22.01
- Volume
- $760.33
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $39.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.350 | 0.412 | $6.19 | +$0.94 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.390 | 0.405 | $4.15 | +$0.15 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.485 | $4.12 | +$0.13 |
| New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.400 | 0.405 | $4.04 | +$0.05 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.485 | $3.96 | −$0.04 |
| Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.495 | $3.95 | −$0.04 |
| New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.475 | $3.95 | −$0.04 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.475 | $3.95 | −$0.04 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.400 | 0.395 | $3.94 | −$0.05 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.070 | $0.93 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.15at 0.351Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
- +$8.89at 0.382Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)
- +$7.27at 0.422Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Orix Buffaloes
- +$5.80at 0.472Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
- +$5.69at 0.482KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Lotte Giants
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:19 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.79 |
| 09-19 13:02 | New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $3.99 |
| 09-19 13:02 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $3.99 |
| 09-19 13:02 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5099999617 | $3.99 |
| 09-19 13:02 | San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.3899999717 | $4.00 |
| 09-19 13:02 | Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $3.99 |
| 09-19 13:02 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $3.99 |
| 09-19 13:02 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $4.00 |
| 09-19 13:02 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $3.99 |
| 09-19 13:02 | New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $3.99 |
| 09-19 13:02 | San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.4699999835 | $3.99 |
| 09-19 08:07 | KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Lotte Giants | BUY | 0.47 | $5.17 |
| 09-19 05:08 | Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Orix Buffaloes | BUY | 0.4099999952 | $5.16 |
| 09-19 03:07 | Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5) | BUY | 0.369999984 | $5.32 |
| 09-19 01:47 | Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $5.06 |