PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe9Adea0BA6CBE9A2A3772dC3b824AAcb6892B72f-1775239976110

0xe9adea0ba6cbe9a2a3772dc3b824aacb6892b72f

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$235.9k
Markets traded
808
Open portfolio
$228.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded808
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6400.630$118.22−$1.78
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? · Yes0.4560.360$78.86−$21.14
Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election? · Yes0.2170.225$31.14+$1.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET · Up0.6800.000$0.00−$170.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET · Down0.8080.000$0.00−$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET · Down0.7570.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Down0.6080.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up0.5990.000$0.00−$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Down0.7610.000$0.00−$155.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Down0.8210.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Up0.5290.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Down0.1970.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Down0.6670.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Down0.5780.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.5810.000$0.00−$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 05:40Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election?BUY0.2167755362$30.00
10-04 05:37Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?BUY0.4564988671$100.00
10-04 01:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.64$120.00
07-06 02:21Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999983$10.00
07-04 03:40Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.032$60.00
07-04 02:35Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0259999992$30.00
07-04 02:34Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.03$50.32
07-03 21:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1949999854$10.00
07-02 01:32Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0222907213$11.54
07-02 01:30Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$10.00
07-01 22:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.4699999887$5.00
07-01 21:51Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.009$12.72
07-01 21:46Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0259999996$60.00
07-01 21:44Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0259999992$30.00
07-01 21:37Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0129999992$15.00