PolyBot

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Traders

Ardyawanhalley

0xe9acd6b02f0b4567cbc0ecffac19b9bc1e8e8302

Realised P&L
$0.70
Volume
$576.90
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$5.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0780.045$3.46−$2.54
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3100.075$1.69−$5.31
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3290.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 17:13Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3099999717$7.00
08-16 17:12Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$5.00
07-18 06:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.001$0.09
07-16 10:42Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-16 10:42Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
07-16 10:41Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0140000003$1.00
07-16 10:30Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-16 10:29Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?BUY0.0140000003$1.00
07-16 10:29Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
07-11 08:01Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.269999937$3.00
07-11 08:01Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1624999768$5.00
07-07 08:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
07-07 08:48Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1869998684$1.00
07-06 23:52Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-06 23:50Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3289998526$1.00