PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xfm-6-6

0xe9ac8eb4ef1d0e95e490694c0436603ed6cb146d

Realised P&L
$14.47
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$104.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? · Yes0.5000.530$104.60+$5.92
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027? · No0.4500.000$0.00$130.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-23 02:52Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?BUY0.5$98.68
05-22 03:27Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?SELL0.81$234.90
04-12 05:02Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?BUY0.74$214.60
04-12 04:59Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?SELL0.76$212.80
03-20 07:36Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?BUY0.69$193.20
03-20 07:34Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?SELL0.997$149.55
03-04 06:53Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?BUY0.987$148.05
02-19 08:08Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?BUY0.7$112.00
02-19 08:05Will Trump meet with Kevin Warsh in February 2026?SELL0.71$120.70
02-15 15:12Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?SELL0.66$99.00
02-04 12:12Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?SELL0.998$53.89
02-01 06:29Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?BUY0.999$53.95