doublethe41
0xe9a41759ee496208077af0f6590b884aba20ea73
- Realised P&L
- $-884.91
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $626.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes | 0.798 | 0.999 | $626.57 | +$125.46 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$424.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.82at 0.840Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
- +$38.33at 0.745US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$34.47at 0.909Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$22.57at 0.970Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?
- +$18.72at 0.880Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 12:10 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $430.38 |
| 10-06 12:09 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $70.73 |
| 08-22 23:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $424.30 |
| 08-22 23:27 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.78 | $424.35 |
| 08-15 00:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.996 | $845.10 |
| 08-05 08:38 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $844.25 |
| 08-01 03:12 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $459.74 |
| 07-28 23:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $110.38 |
| 07-28 23:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $63.57 |
| 07-27 02:35 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $116.59 |
| 07-27 02:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $171.37 |
| 07-25 16:54 | Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.989 | $49.51 |
| 07-25 16:53 | Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.988 | $39.52 |
| 07-25 16:53 | Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale? | SELL | 0.09 | $56.98 |
| 07-25 16:53 | Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |