Durango1202
0xe9a2b4f03ec56fbda3612098cd3cafe39efe1543
- Realised P&L
- $-90.14
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $17.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan’s February 2026 unemployment rate be 2.9%? · No | 0.947 | 1.000 | $10.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $7.00 | −$13.00 |
| Karen Read acquitted on all charges? · No | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.00 |
| Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.99 |
| Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.29at 0.790Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
- +$-20.00at 0.002Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-25 03:50 | Will Japan’s February 2026 unemployment rate be 2.9%? | BUY | 0.9469999981 | $10.00 |
| 03-04 14:15 | Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 14:13 | Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 14:11 | Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%? | BUY | 0.0029857921 | $20.00 |
| 06-16 06:05 | Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? | BUY | 0.097594872 | $20.00 |
| 06-16 06:03 | Karen Read guilty in officer's death? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |
| 06-16 06:01 | Karen Read acquitted on all charges? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 10:37 | Karen Read acquitted on all charges? | BUY | 0.3885682702 | $26.00 |