jiufeitebro
0xe9a1ebc1912aedcc3eead802462129c301adc482
- Realised P&L
- $-708.39
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $101.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.244 | 0.085 | $73.04 | −$136.38 |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.045 | $28.69 | −$71.31 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.77 |
| Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$243.10 |
| No airdrop in 2025? · Yes | 0.263 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? · No | 0.308 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.88 |
| Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 8? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Up | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 9? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$439.43at 0.180Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
- +$-112.38at 0.057Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 12:08 | Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.16 | $43.10 |
| 03-05 12:08 | Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0326798772 | $35.00 |
| 03-05 11:46 | Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0105017447 | $20.00 |
| 03-05 11:45 | Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0241240077 | $0.88 |
| 03-05 11:43 | Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.177234672 | $200.00 |
| 01-10 02:33 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2902610546 | $109.42 |
| 01-09 10:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 9? | BUY | 0.0328614229 | $10.00 |
| 01-08 08:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 8? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 01-08 06:43 | Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2295481757 | $100.00 |
| 01-08 06:42 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2073535082 | $100.00 |
| 12-30 15:27 | Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.3078849724 | $100.00 |
| 12-30 15:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0178412132 | $10.00 |
| 12-30 14:36 | Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 12-30 11:21 | Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.9709732517 | $539.42 |
| 12-29 09:53 | Lighter Airdrop on December 31? | BUY | 0.1156191133 | $98.77 |