0xe99ea0053235df60acf14756d467095c34b54502
0xe99ea0053235df60acf14756d467095c34b54502
- Realised P&L
- $-23.46
- Volume
- $77.90
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $13.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-30.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.275 | $5.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.023 | $3.45 | −$2.55 |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.160 | $2.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.070 | $2.15 | −$1.85 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.005 | $0.13 | −$3.87 |
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.005 | $0.09 | −$3.91 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$5.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.33at 0.857Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$-9.79at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
- +$-15.00at 0.300Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:10 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.2119307362 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 17:10 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 17:09 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.0689999998 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 17:05 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.04 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 17:05 | Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.2125809216 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 17:04 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 17:03 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.129999999 | $4.00 |
| 05-11 02:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.509999986 | $9.47 |
| 01-07 20:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.8569999983 | $8.00 |
| 01-07 19:59 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |