PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

3003ler

0xe99a9a4bfc7b8a0f609db0a258719269b6132ad2

Realised P&L
$-194.96
Volume
$24.4k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$110.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · No0.8700.965$28.93+$2.83
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.9300.935$26.14+$0.14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8600.875$20.35+$0.35
Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027? · No0.8980.894$15.93$0.07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8900.894$10.05+$0.05
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8700.820$9.43$0.57
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$70.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? · Yes0.4230.000$0.00$49.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 12:53US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.929999975$26.00
09-14 12:52Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.8599999983$20.00
09-14 12:52Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027?BUY0.8979999969$16.00
09-14 12:51Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.8699999904$10.00
09-14 12:51Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.8899999252$10.00
09-14 12:14Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.995$20.89
06-26 02:03GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
06-26 02:01Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.961$18.26
06-26 01:57GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.021055$4.21
06-26 01:53Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?SELL0.055$5.50
06-26 00:21GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.053$10.60
06-26 00:16GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.049$5.39
06-25 23:46Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.138$27.60
06-25 23:45Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?BUY0.06$6.00
06-25 23:43Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.139$27.80