0xE9927cDfD17eA6A2A7A86adEFAdefC6D974FCaa8-1776423903027
0xe9927cdfd17ea6a2a7a86adefadefc6d974fcaa8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.89
- Volume
- $58.41
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $6.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31? · Yes | 0.790 | 1.000 | $2.47 | +$0.52 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.535 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.081 | $1.48 | −$2.52 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.885 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.18at 0.850Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?
- +$-0.02at 0.580Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$-0.20at 0.172Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$-0.74at 0.430Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-19 19:25 | Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31? | BUY | 0.7899996475 | $1.95 |
| 04-19 19:21 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.26 |
| 04-17 21:31 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 04-17 21:31 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.98 |
| 04-17 21:30 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | SELL | 0.137 | $0.80 |
| 04-17 20:39 | Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? | BUY | 0.2172839188 | $4.00 |
| 04-17 19:58 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.5799994896 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 19:57 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.171999872 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 19:55 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 11:15 | Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 11:14 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 11:13 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |