PolyBot

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Traders

AlcazarViala

0xe98dd5c8e21e6e113f63fa9d6f80dc1cda5c9275

Realised P&L
$-83.77
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$152.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1310.135$73.39+$2.39
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7600.885$46.58+$6.58
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0310.021$26.79−$13.20
Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$5.00−$5.00
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.001$0.14−$1.86
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0090.001$0.11−$1.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 10:39Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.001$10.00
10-22 07:41Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0220199366$5.00
10-22 07:40Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1099999999$10.00
08-23 15:45Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7599999901$40.00
08-23 15:44Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?SELL0.939$25.13
08-23 15:43Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1299999967$30.00
08-10 09:18Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1399999962$30.00
08-03 13:46Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0359356196$20.00
07-21 09:51Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-21 09:51Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0289999971$10.00
07-21 09:50Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5809999837$10.00
07-19 14:30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5919999984$50.00
07-19 14:29Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.73$59.19
07-19 14:22Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.592$39.59
07-19 14:22Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.12$41.00