0xe96d91652cfc42f87923831eef35050fb16572ca
0xe96d91652cfc42f87923831eef35050fb16572ca
- Realised P&L
- $260.28
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $25.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.335 | $13.96 | −$1.04 |
| Will FURIA Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.037 | $5.56 | +$1.56 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? · No | 0.340 | 0.365 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.255 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will G2 Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.011 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$271.40at 0.257Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-1.42at 0.002Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-9.70at 0.025Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:23 | Will FURIA Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | BUY | 0.0269999993 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 02:23 | Will G2 Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | BUY | 0.007082153 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 02:22 | Will FURIA Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | BUY | 0.0269999993 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 02:22 | Will FURIA Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | BUY | 0.0269999997 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 02:21 | Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 01:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 23:54 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 21:44 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.024 | $9.29 |
| 10-04 21:44 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 10-04 02:22 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.36 |
| 10-04 02:21 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2480689901 | $90.81 |