PolyBot

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Traders

Xan

0xe96c0075010f0e1ef0eb43a953ffc215cd4628db

Realised P&L
$235.89
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
510
Open portfolio
$28.88

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded510
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? · Yes0.1380.420$15.21+$10.21
Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed? · Yes0.3970.505$12.71+$2.71
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed? · Yes0.1200.022$0.94−$4.06
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1050.003$0.02−$0.98
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 · THUNDER dOWNUNDER0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Who will finish higher: Perez or Bottas? · Bottas0.5700.000$0.00−$1.00
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner · Team Spirit0.3400.000$0.00−$1.00
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner · BetBoom Team0.5700.000$0.00−$15.00
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 · Sinners0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 · B80.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 · FlyQuest0.4700.000$0.00−$2.00
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs. Tundra Esports · Team Liquid0.6100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Natus Vincere win Blast Slam VI? · Yes0.2870.000$0.00−$1.00
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs. Tundra Esports · Tundra Esports0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 07:52Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5$1.55
08-23 06:07Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.5799999845$12.00
08-23 06:07Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?SELL0.4094309965$13.02
08-23 06:06Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-23 03:44Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.25$2.00
08-23 03:40Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.55$1.00
08-23 03:08Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$4.51
08-23 02:25Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6199999203$2.80
08-23 02:14Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-22 09:16Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.4699998778$1.00
08-22 07:51Will Hoodwink Be the Most Picked Hero at The International 2026?BUY0.2929998172$1.00
08-22 07:32Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.4$2.14
08-22 06:21Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4299999619$3.95
08-22 02:51Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-22 02:51Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?SELL0.041352$5.17