PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF0f5546A367ce3D2C51F5a5521eb5666E52c5aA6-1772912096561

0xe95f39f96ebd38d9a6c1716bec4caabfc4788e05

Realised P&L
$3.32
Volume
$242.87
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$304.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12? · Yes0.4170.555$62.21+$15.48
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12? · Yes0.4590.998$41.26+$22.26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on October 12? · No0.4250.570$30.84+$7.84
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 12? · No0.5930.919$24.83+$8.83
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 12? · Yes0.4100.810$19.22+$9.48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12? · No0.6760.260$19.08−$30.51
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12? · Yes0.3220.260$14.15−$3.37
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12? · No0.5691.000$10.54+$4.54
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12? · No0.1780.405$10.34+$5.78
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12? · Yes0.2830.110$9.86−$15.55
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 12? · Yes0.5260.876$8.33+$3.33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 12? · Yes0.1780.140$7.08−$1.91
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 12? · No0.3960.115$6.67−$16.33
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 12? · Yes0.3260.290$6.22−$0.78
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 12? · No0.4600.550$5.98+$0.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 20:33Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?BUY0.2199999766$1.69
10-12 20:32Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 12?BUY0.2099999819$1.16
10-12 20:27Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?BUY0.25$2.00
10-12 20:27Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?BUY0.259999983$1.83
10-12 20:27Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?BUY0.2377142727$2.00
10-12 20:21Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-12 20:21Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-12 20:20Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 12?BUY0.77$2.00
10-12 20:19Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12?BUY0.25$2.00
10-12 20:17Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 12?BUY0.6929999726$2.00
10-12 20:16Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on October 12?BUY0.3729998814$1.00
10-12 20:16Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 12?BUY0.6929999726$2.00
10-12 20:16Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12?BUY0.1495513385$2.00
10-12 20:11Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12?BUY0.139999993$2.00
10-12 20:11Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?BUY0.139999993$2.00