0xF0f5546A367ce3D2C51F5a5521eb5666E52c5aA6-1772912096561
0xe95f39f96ebd38d9a6c1716bec4caabfc4788e05
- Realised P&L
- $3.32
- Volume
- $242.87
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $304.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.99at 0.347Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 11?
- +$4.07at 0.431Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 11?
- +$3.27at 0.485Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 11?
- +$2.83at 0.521Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 11?
- +$2.11at 0.492Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 20:33 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.2199999766 | $1.69 |
| 10-12 20:32 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.2099999819 | $1.16 |
| 10-12 20:27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 20:27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.259999983 | $1.83 |
| 10-12 20:27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.2377142727 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 20:17 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.6929999726 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.3729998814 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.6929999726 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.1495513385 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |