uuuuuwu
0xe95cff9ef483485eef0e7e526c54dd32af348f89
- Realised P&L
- $-54.75
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $164.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · No | 0.807 | 0.795 | $63.60 | −$1.00 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.675 | $33.75 | +$7.25 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No | 0.485 | 0.325 | $32.50 | −$16.00 |
| Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.205 | $28.70 | +$3.90 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.115 | $5.75 | −$1.25 |
| Will Ryan Trevino be the Democratic nominee for TX-28? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.39at 0.285Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
- +$8.50at 0.830Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$8.21at 0.265Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
- +$6.50at 0.420Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
- +$2.69at 0.360Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 22:19 | Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.72 | $10.08 |
| 07-17 22:19 | Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | SELL | 0.69 | $18.14 |
| 07-16 13:13 | Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | SELL | 0.72 | $1.20 |
| 07-16 09:37 | Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 15:55 | Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | SELL | 0.974 | $48.70 |
| 03-09 20:58 | Will Tracie Burke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 03-09 20:58 | Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 03-09 20:57 | Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.12 |
| 02-21 18:16 | Will Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon? | SELL | 0.09 | $5.31 |
| 02-21 18:15 | Will Douglas T. Muck Jr. be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.90 |
| 02-21 18:15 | Will Tim Skelton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon? | SELL | 0.11 | $6.39 |
| 02-18 00:18 | Will Ryan Trevino be the Democratic nominee for TX-28? | SELL | 0.0142592 | $0.71 |
| 02-18 00:01 | Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | BUY | 0.2788 | $13.94 |
| 02-18 00:01 | Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | BUY | 0.285186 | $14.26 |
| 02-17 23:53 | Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.1456111111 | $5.24 |