5dl
0xe95b57a01012b51cd4145c856b2792ba915a5997
- Realised P&L
- $375.78
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 515
- Open portfolio
- $73.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded515
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? · Yes | 0.699 | 0.485 | $73.52 | −$32.47 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? · No | 0.752 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$187.97 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.00 |
| Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
| Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31? · No | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.63 |
| Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.60 |
| Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.14 |
| Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-05-02? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.66at 0.674Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$61.15at 0.686Will there be 7-9 inches of snow in D.C. in January?
- +$49.87at 0.667South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance
- +$34.23at 0.897Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
- +$33.96at 0.686Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 11:58 | Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 19:28 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |
| 07-21 19:16 | Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? | SELL | 0.064008 | $3.20 |
| 07-19 21:20 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7025 | $140.50 |
| 07-18 22:48 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.125 | $1.25 |
| 07-18 21:47 | France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.972 | $84.35 |
| 07-15 16:25 | Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 21:18 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.30 |
| 06-27 03:23 | Belgium leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 19:12 | Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 06:15 | Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 06-12 06:14 | Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 05-27 23:52 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 04-24 17:14 | Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5 | $0.97 |
| 04-24 17:13 | Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $4.88 |