WNNER-FOREVER
0xe955cbd63bd279fca53ea6429552076939b05f29
- Realised P&L
- $-261.13
- Volume
- $34.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,632
- Open portfolio
- $3.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,632
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.69at 0.622Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?
- +$14.95at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
- +$12.87at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?
- +$12.43at 0.044Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 12?
- +$9.90at 0.010Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:43 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.46 |
| 09-18 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.64 |
| 09-18 13:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.86 | $5.16 |
| 09-17 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.32 |
| 09-15 17:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5793333333 | $3.48 |
| 09-15 17:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $3.66 |
| 09-15 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $3.36 |
| 09-15 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.70 |
| 09-15 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $3.23 |
| 09-15 09:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $3.90 |
| 09-15 09:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $5.04 |
| 09-13 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 09-13 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $5.32 |
| 09-13 13:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $3.18 |
| 09-13 13:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.94 |