PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

acepk18

0xe955ca5cf1f3dc63a4b1173f73ef01d8d28f8faa

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$42.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.6950.983$42.40+$12.40
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.3750.007$0.37−$19.63
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$35.60
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$6.90
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:07Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.0674999797$3.00
07-19 12:37Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3174999667$5.00
07-19 05:52Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.069$6.90
07-19 05:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.409$163.60
07-16 04:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.416$97.22
07-16 04:35Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?SELL0.96$59.25
07-16 04:33Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.07$1.40
07-16 04:32Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.901$60.39
07-15 04:05England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5BUY0.699999993$20.00
07-15 04:04England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4649999919$30.00
07-11 14:20Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5BUY0.8199999995$30.00
07-11 14:20Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.75$50.00
07-09 09:54France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
07-09 09:54Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.25$10.00
07-09 09:54France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2299999869$10.00