sam31
0xe94de852509ada2f56a40623ff91176dc16cc69a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $88.7k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $829.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.429Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$261.24at 0.885Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$94.04at 0.779Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$56.35at 0.718Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?
- +$34.28at 0.909Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:30 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 09-16 16:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $73.97 |
| 09-16 16:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.0k |
| 08-16 14:32 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 08-13 07:25 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.68 | $135.99 |
| 08-13 07:23 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August? | BUY | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 08-13 07:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 08-12 13:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $320.00 |
| 08-12 01:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 08-12 01:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 08-11 16:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.57 | $45.60 |
| 08-11 16:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.901 | $180.20 |
| 08-11 16:37 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $166.00 |
| 08-10 16:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 10:29 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |