0xe94d5ee227e5a4d50805dd1932984024953d103a
0xe94d5ee227e5a4d50805dd1932984024953d103a
- Realised P&L
- $-11.68
- Volume
- $160.89
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $3.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.580 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.870 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.405 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.24at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.07at 0.530Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:08 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:46 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:40 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:54 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:06 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:37 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:32 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:53 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:06 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:48 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:55 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:53 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:02 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:37 | Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:02 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.29 |