1320ft
0xe94b9c19ef1c91f488bac633363425b2ea7f23bd
- Realised P&L
- $-840.16
- Volume
- $55.3k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $164.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.830 | $118.57 | +$68.57 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.275 | $27.33 | −$2.48 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.044 | $14.96 | −$5.04 |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.437 | 0.049 | $3.37 | −$26.63 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down | 0.189 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$207.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.09at 0.498Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$71.78at 0.614US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$71.68at 0.375Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$61.32at 0.751Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$57.53at 0.816Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 15:32 | Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.299999999 | $29.81 |
| 10-28 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 15:23 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 15:20 | Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2060450316 | $15.00 |
| 10-28 15:19 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0588235294 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 15:11 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.436772042 | $30.00 |
| 04-04 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1596931484 | $16.72 |
| 04-04 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1210894316 | $76.92 |
| 04-04 21:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3114077119 | $90.08 |
| 04-04 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3513883621 | $90.66 |
| 03-23 16:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3704591547 | $207.30 |
| 03-23 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2236079804 | $31.46 |
| 03-23 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | SELL | 0.6523519262 | $173.91 |
| 03-23 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $74.33 |
| 03-23 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6676745796 | $140.03 |