PolyBot

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Traders

0xe948cf45db18648be485b3e187a1c993422321f6

0xe948cf45db18648be485b3e187a1c993422321f6

Realised P&L
$-30.85
Volume
$811.16
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$43.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9670.982$20.31+$0.31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.7400.962$14.42+$3.32
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2830.070$2.47−$7.53
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2630.085$1.94−$4.06
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1800.041$1.12−$3.88
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2600.085$0.98−$2.01
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.080$0.94−$1.05
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.5000.085$0.85−$4.15
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.5030.085$0.85−$4.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 19:42Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY0.6899999652$2.18
06-12 19:42US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.93$1.26
06-12 19:41Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?SELL0.31$0.98
06-12 19:07Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.5299999054$1.68
06-11 20:30Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.94$1.61
04-08 20:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.24$3.00
04-05 20:50Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.26$2.99
04-05 20:47Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999342$1.99
03-31 06:33Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.74$11.10
03-30 21:20Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?SELL0.005$0.04
03-26 22:30Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?BUY0.769999538$1.25
03-25 21:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?SELL0.0438877841$1.24
03-22 20:55Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.8399999704$3.41
03-22 20:54Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.3$3.40
03-19 04:50Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?BUY0.6199999653$5.01