PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

highdri

0xe94016c423848b177cbeab912e33648d972e0fc4

Realised P&L
$-231.75
Volume
$26.8k
Markets traded
194
Open portfolio
$32.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded194
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0400.040$9.98$0.02
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.2200.205$9.32$0.68
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0260.016$6.12$3.88
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? · Yes0.1040.045$4.32$5.68
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · Yes0.2100.055$2.62$7.38
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2700.072$0.27$0.73
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Yes0.0660.001$0.08$9.92
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00$10.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$10.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25? · Yes0.6150.000$0.00$10.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$10.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 01:54U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.3389999784$10.00
07-26 20:10Will no listed leader be out before 2027?SELL0.45$12.50
07-26 20:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.16$13.33
07-25 03:28Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
07-25 03:28Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?BUY0.5099999786$10.00
07-25 03:28Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?BUY0.6153846154$10.00
07-25 03:27Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.08$10.00
07-25 03:24Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?SELL0.2141801254$11.27
07-25 03:23Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?SELL0.013$0.23
07-25 03:23Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?SELL0.014$4.00
07-25 03:23Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?SELL0.012572934$3.77
07-25 03:22US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?SELL0.63$10.00
07-22 16:33Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.151429797$10.59
07-21 15:47Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?BUY0.0660619147$10.00
07-21 15:46Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?BUY0.189999988$10.00