PolyBot

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Traders

fgta00

0xe933dcd0a3b8b5fcd8650424cab5d51ffeff50d4

Realised P&L
$15.01
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$58.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.2860.285$19.92$0.08
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.175$16.41$13.59
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2000.145$14.50$5.50
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? · Yes0.5050.115$4.56$15.44
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes0.1820.032$3.46$16.54
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00$19.20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$30.00
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$2.46
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00$9.48
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31? · No0.4100.000$0.00$5.00
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$10.00
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) · Switzerland0.6100.000$0.00$15.00
Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.2% and 1.5%? · Yes0.3190.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 11:51Will United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
06-25 11:50Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.64$19.20
06-13 08:51Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)BUY0.6099999915$15.00
06-13 08:48Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.669999995$20.00
06-13 08:45Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.189999988$10.00
06-13 08:41Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5799999942$30.00
06-13 07:27Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.19$50.82
05-22 10:35Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$30.00
04-23 11:33Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.3666774045$7.97
04-23 11:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.383$22.88
04-23 11:31Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0032468548$0.10
03-24 13:33Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?SELL0.997$17.80
03-19 00:18Will Bitcoin hit $70,000 or $73,000 first?BUY0.7899999802$8.00
03-18 23:51Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
03-16 11:30No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?SELL0.1612497502$16.14