PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fgta00

0xe933dcd0a3b8b5fcd8650424cab5d51ffeff50d4

Realised P&L
$86.95
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$130.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.805$75.47+$45.47
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.2860.350$24.47+$4.47
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2000.205$20.50+$0.50
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? · Yes0.5050.135$5.35$14.65
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes0.1820.044$4.83$15.17
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00$19.20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$30.00
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$2.46
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00$9.48
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31? · No0.4100.000$0.00$5.00
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$10.00
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) · Switzerland0.6100.000$0.00$15.00
Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.2% and 1.5%? · Yes0.3190.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 11:51Will United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
06-25 11:50Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.64$19.20
06-13 08:51Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)BUY0.6099999915$15.00
06-13 08:48Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.669999995$20.00
06-13 08:45Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.189999988$10.00
06-13 08:41Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5799999942$30.00
06-13 07:27Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.19$50.82
05-22 10:35Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$30.00
04-23 11:33Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.3666774045$7.97
04-23 11:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.383$22.88
04-23 11:31Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0032468548$0.10
03-24 13:33Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?SELL0.997$17.80
03-19 00:18Will Bitcoin hit $70,000 or $73,000 first?BUY0.7899999802$8.00
03-18 23:51Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
03-16 11:30No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?SELL0.1612497502$16.14