fgta00
0xe933dcd0a3b8b5fcd8650424cab5d51ffeff50d4
- Realised P&L
- $15.01
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $58.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.35at 0.059Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$19.56at 0.360Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
- +$12.19at 0.496Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$9.85at 0.670Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$8.21at 0.560Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 11:51 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 11:50 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 06-13 08:51 | Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6099999915 | $15.00 |
| 06-13 08:48 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 06-13 08:45 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 08:41 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5799999942 | $30.00 |
| 06-13 07:27 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $50.82 |
| 05-22 10:35 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $30.00 |
| 04-23 11:33 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.3666774045 | $7.97 |
| 04-23 11:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.383 | $22.88 |
| 04-23 11:31 | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0032468548 | $0.10 |
| 03-24 13:33 | Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? | SELL | 0.997 | $17.80 |
| 03-19 00:18 | Will Bitcoin hit $70,000 or $73,000 first? | BUY | 0.7899999802 | $8.00 |
| 03-18 23:51 | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 11:30 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1612497502 | $16.14 |