Anon178
0xe9317b9e4540ac530b4ec98efb98a32aa4804268
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $728.9k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $26.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.011 | $13.87 | −$9.84 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.009 | $9.79 | −$47.79 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 9? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.005 | $2.78 | −$6.31 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5? · No | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.36 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.65 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6? · No | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.17 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? · No | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.92 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5? · No | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.022Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?
- +$1.1kat 0.076Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 23?
- +$1.0kat 0.091Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 22?
- +$983.98at 0.060Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?
- +$947.97at 0.023Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 10:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.05 | $41.08 |
| 10-08 10:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.0169999999 | $2.18 |
| 10-08 10:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.05 | $16.50 |
| 10-08 10:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 9? | BUY | 0.018 | $9.09 |
| 10-08 10:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.02 | $21.36 |
| 10-08 10:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.17 |
| 10-08 09:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | SELL | 0.109 | $55.88 |
| 10-08 02:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.1571914894 | $18.47 |
| 10-08 01:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.128 | $4.72 |
| 10-08 01:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.119 | $16.21 |
| 10-08 01:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.116 | $25.75 |
| 10-07 10:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.0649999999 | $2.92 |
| 10-07 10:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.02 |
| 10-07 01:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $17.85 |
| 10-07 01:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.038 | $3.34 |