0xe928a8B37121B25a5ec0B0D3Db4fC81D6b586aa4-1759954474115
0xe928a8b37121b25a5ec0b0d3db4fc81d6b586aa4
- Realised P&L
- $-107.77
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $2.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.95at 0.962Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
- +$1.64at 0.984Iran strike on US military by February 28?
- +$0.53at 0.950Will Trump say "Ego" in January?
- +$0.35at 0.996Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
- +$0.24at 0.620Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-16 11:50 | Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0224719101 | $2.00 |
| 04-16 11:50 | Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0113672502 | $1.20 |
| 04-16 11:50 | Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0131152267 | $1.30 |
| 04-16 11:50 | Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0192832791 | $2.00 |
| 04-16 11:50 | Will Armenian Revolutionary Federation win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0112731768 | $1.14 |
| 04-16 11:49 | Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0177850813 | $1.80 |
| 04-16 11:49 | Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0266043856 | $2.70 |
| 04-16 11:49 | Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0227837348 | $2.30 |
| 04-16 11:48 | Will National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 04-16 11:48 | Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0367651391 | $3.90 |
| 04-16 11:48 | Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 04-16 11:48 | Will Independence Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.041 | $4.10 |
| 04-16 11:48 | Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.009386146 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 11:48 | Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0440963317 | $4.40 |
| 04-16 11:48 | Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.056 | $5.60 |