wykchem
0xe92759f854785734bbf3603c76a4d3b2db70ca72
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $209.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $488.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.034 | $423.29 | −$328.93 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.041 | $65.61 | −$224.19 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.60 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$259.15 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.25 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$318.49 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? · No | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.54at 0.170US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.180Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- +$-2.00at 0.006US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$-371.68at 0.022Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
- +$-730.84at 0.111US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05 19:20 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0863117876 | $73.00 |
| 04-05 06:29 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1245956081 | $130.00 |
| 03-18 09:27 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.95 |
| 03-17 09:40 | Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.28 |
| 03-17 09:40 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $60.30 |
| 03-17 09:38 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $190.00 |
| 03-14 10:09 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $62.36 |
| 03-10 19:24 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 19:24 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | SELL | 0.0503461111 | $603.29 |
| 03-09 09:09 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.06964 | $8.71 |
| 03-07 21:46 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.097 | $0.97 |
| 03-07 20:34 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.1198695652 | $27.57 |
| 03-07 20:33 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.115 | $6.05 |
| 03-07 20:30 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.1124051795 | $20.44 |
| 03-07 20:28 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $26.70 |