PolyBot

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Traders

Oradna2

0xe9257cfd566243f7e9259c465beb25848b93afd9

Realised P&L
$-47.61
Volume
$848.83
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$11.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · Yes0.0300.024$11.79$3.21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? · No0.0900.000$0.00$5.08
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No0.1800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No0.2180.000$0.00$10.06
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? · No0.7500.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 20:06Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?SELL0.89$6.95
01-13 02:32Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?BUY0.64$5.00
01-13 02:28Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2$10.00
01-13 02:27Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
01-06 22:26Will Venezuela become 51st state?BUY0.029910645$15.00
12-19 20:37Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
12-19 19:20Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?SELL0.85$3.40
12-19 19:19Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?BUY0.149999976$5.00
12-18 02:35Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? BUY0.0899999846$5.08
12-18 02:27Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?SELL0.13$4.33
12-16 19:02Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?BUY0.179999928$2.00
12-16 19:01Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?BUY0.1799999649$4.00
12-16 18:57Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?BUY0.3899998908$2.00
12-16 18:54US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00