0xe91a08868dedd0e253a9920c8c0d256d64fe7317
0xe91a08868dedd0e253a9920c8c0d256d64fe7317
- Realised P&L
- $-8.44
- Volume
- $99.03
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $2.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.580 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.405 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.359Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.51at 0.510Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?
- +$1.23at 0.560Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$0.88at 0.639S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:29 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:49 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:48 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:20 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:01 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7099997003 | $1.54 |
| 09-18 22:45 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7199999626 | $1.54 |
| 09-18 09:10 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5899998851 | $1.54 |
| 09-09 13:12 | Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.54 |
| 09-09 04:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.5999999104 | $1.34 |
| 09-08 14:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6599999486 | $1.54 |
| 09-08 00:30 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4599998745 | $1.54 |
| 09-07 14:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.54 |