true25
0xe915bdecd9e3702b625556a6d13c258095443492
- Realised P&L
- $-196.36
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $1.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.075 | $1.50 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.40at 0.186Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$8.00at 0.340US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$3.40at 0.430US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$0.90at 0.420Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
- +$0.20at 0.021Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 03:18 | Will “Ain't in It for My Health” by Zach Top win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 07:13 | Google announces a full training pause in 2026? | SELL | 0.03701 | $0.74 |
| 09-19 06:15 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.6M in August? | SELL | 0.114 | $2.28 |
| 09-19 05:05 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 09-19 03:23 | Denmark snap election called by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 09-19 01:55 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 09-19 01:41 | Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 19, 2026? (copy) | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 01:35 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-13 08:12 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-13 08:01 | Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 08-13 07:41 | Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 08-13 06:39 | Will Notre Dame have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 06:26 | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 08-13 03:56 | Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth 25%-29%? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 08-12 13:52 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.70 |