PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

orrssn

0xe9137a72df0482a88455bff1eecd1b2c757ee857

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$49.4k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Packers (-6.5) · Packers0.4800.455$2.1k$117.81
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$697.19
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) · Gen.G0.8700.000$0.00$40.53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$15.14
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$3.36
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians0.5800.000$0.00$36.02
Maduro out in 2025? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$24.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$114.53
Pelicans vs. Kings · Pelicans0.6370.000$0.00$64.32
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves · Nuggets0.5370.000$0.00$120.58
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers · UMBC Retrievers0.5180.000$0.00$8.47
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$48.59
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles0.5200.000$0.00$50.87
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$111.91
Magic vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.3060.000$0.00$65.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 04:35Spread: Packers (-6.5)BUY0.48$2.3k
09-20 14:16Bengals vs. TexansBUY0.4199999999$950.07
09-13 06:32Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.5799999996$550.27
08-04 06:14St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesBUY0.4$13.85
07-24 06:16Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.52$50.87
07-06 02:58Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.43$48.59
07-01 02:48Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.55$64.54
06-24 03:38Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.73$65.06
06-16 07:31Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.73$67.25
06-11 07:51Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.53$82.49
06-05 06:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?BUY0.58$60.79
05-22 02:20New York Mets vs. Miami MarlinsBUY0.47$102.15
05-13 02:21Cavaliers vs. PistonsBUY0.62$101.32
05-08 07:21Pistons vs. CavaliersBUY0.61$101.79
05-01 05:16Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis CardinalsBUY0.62$120.52