orrssn
0xe9137a72df0482a88455bff1eecd1b2c757ee857
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $49.4k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-6.5) · Packers | 0.480 | 0.455 | $2.1k | −$117.81 |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$697.19 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) · Gen.G | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.53 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.14 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.36 |
| New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.02 |
| Maduro out in 2025? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.72 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$114.53 |
| Pelicans vs. Kings · Pelicans | 0.637 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.32 |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves · Nuggets | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.58 |
| Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers · UMBC Retrievers | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.47 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.59 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.87 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$111.91 |
| Magic vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.306 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.420Bengals vs. Texans
- +$391.54at 0.587Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$161.99at 0.397Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
- +$113.57at 0.477New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
- +$95.60at 0.920Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 04:35 | Spread: Packers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $2.3k |
| 09-20 14:16 | Bengals vs. Texans | BUY | 0.4199999999 | $950.07 |
| 09-13 06:32 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5799999996 | $550.27 |
| 08-04 06:14 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.4 | $13.85 |
| 07-24 06:16 | Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.52 | $50.87 |
| 07-06 02:58 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.43 | $48.59 |
| 07-01 02:48 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.55 | $64.54 |
| 06-24 03:38 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.73 | $65.06 |
| 06-16 07:31 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.73 | $67.25 |
| 06-11 07:51 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.53 | $82.49 |
| 06-05 06:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? | BUY | 0.58 | $60.79 |
| 05-22 02:20 | New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.47 | $102.15 |
| 05-13 02:21 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.62 | $101.32 |
| 05-08 07:21 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.61 | $101.79 |
| 05-01 05:16 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.62 | $120.52 |