Tobbo
0xe91003a4ed68abd196981a2890b047a7132e2dae
- Realised P&L
- $337.90
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $480.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.77at 0.520Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$83.28at 0.667Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$53.85at 0.650Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.63at 0.380Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$27.84at 0.610Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 02:44 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 02:37 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.1799999954 | $28.00 |
| 07-24 19:22 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster? | BUY | 0.016794442 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 19:15 | Will Trump’s remarks not air? | BUY | 0.0395963809 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 19:14 | Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 19:13 | Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 19:13 | Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 19:13 | Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 18:59 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.0082367197 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 18:59 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 07-22 18:56 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.00 |
| 07-18 23:10 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0279999986 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 23:07 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2859999875 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 23:06 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0040208602 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 23:06 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0074864869 | $10.00 |