0xe90de8a6c1134dc915c78a3c19ca45c60f5ad8d3
0xe90de8a6c1134dc915c78a3c19ca45c60f5ad8d3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.14
- Volume
- $300.66
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $2.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.955 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.378 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.045 | $0.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.049 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.023 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.52at 0.389Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$3.52at 0.389Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.10at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$2.97at 0.430Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $472.50 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.430Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 04:30 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:45 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:25 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:48 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:47 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 10:45 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 02:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:12 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:12 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:44 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:39 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 1? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:05 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:59 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |