0xe90db3acb321c694b1575b99eb5521c77dfa2aa7
0xe90db3acb321c694b1575b99eb5521c77dfa2aa7
- Realised P&L
- $-79.38
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $6.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election? · No | 0.740 | 0.815 | $2.17 | +$0.20 |
| Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open? · No | 0.988 | 1.000 | $2.00 | +$0.02 |
| Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.790 | $1.95 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.32at 0.409Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
- +$6.99at 0.419Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$6.42at 0.439Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
- +$6.42at 0.439Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
- +$6.17at 0.449Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 09:22 | Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.98 |
| 09-01 11:58 | Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.97 |
| 09-01 09:27 | Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.7399999474 | $1.97 |
| 09-01 09:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $11.76 |
| 08-20 10:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.99 |
| 08-20 10:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.99 |
| 08-20 10:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.6599999575 | $4.97 |
| 08-20 10:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.99 |
| 08-07 08:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999079 | $1.89 |
| 08-07 08:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999364 | $1.95 |
| 08-07 05:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999593 | $1.09 |
| 08-07 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999841 | $1.96 |
| 08-07 05:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.96 |
| 08-07 05:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.619999895 | $1.89 |
| 08-07 05:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999808 | $1.86 |