manlets
0xe90a1d76243084d9deeb3f049d8e2ce1102806b7
- Realised P&L
- $662.47
- Volume
- $268.0k
- Markets traded
- 578
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded578
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.259Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$309.62at 0.247Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?
- +$246.63at 0.717Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$159.64at 0.504Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?
- +$135.68at 0.180Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:54 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.943 | $47.15 |
| 10-31 21:31 | Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026? | BUY | 0.9656884893 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 20:35 | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | BUY | 0.5402750465 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 18:27 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |
| 10-31 18:20 | Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? | BUY | 0.9304636667 | $279.14 |
| 10-31 10:40 | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $51.29 |
| 10-31 10:36 | Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 10-31 10:34 | Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? | BUY | 0.8821866757 | $52.17 |
| 10-31 10:31 | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $221.56 |
| 10-31 08:40 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? | BUY | 0.21 | $6.30 |
| 10-31 08:34 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.813 | $81.30 |
| 10-30 19:52 | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $9.12 |
| 10-30 19:22 | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $22.00 |
| 10-30 19:21 | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 10-30 17:45 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $99.30 |