PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

manlets

0xe90a1d76243084d9deeb3f049d8e2ce1102806b7

Realised P&L
$662.47
Volume
$268.0k
Markets traded
578
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded578
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9920.996$1.5k+$5.25
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? · Yes0.9320.955$581.45+$14.16
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026? · No0.9800.969$541.26−$6.03
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8520.840$402.96−$6.03
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? · No0.9330.943$377.20+$4.06
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.5390.505$372.26−$25.15
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S? · No0.8190.885$211.96+$15.71
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · No0.5590.565$138.64+$1.34
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? · Yes0.1760.195$107.31+$10.46
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? · No0.9100.945$75.13+$2.78
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? · No0.8840.946$74.87+$4.89
Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026? · No0.9670.971$69.66+$0.26
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C? · Yes0.1180.112$60.16−$3.19
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9430.924$46.20−$0.95
Sweden snap election called in 2026? · No0.8200.790$39.50−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:54Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.943$47.15
10-31 21:31Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?BUY0.9656884893$50.00
10-31 20:35Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?BUY0.5402750465$10.00
10-31 18:27Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?BUY0.994$19.88
10-31 18:20Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?BUY0.9304636667$279.14
10-31 10:40Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?BUY0.54$51.29
10-31 10:36Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?BUY0.89$17.80
10-31 10:34Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?BUY0.8821866757$52.17
10-31 10:31Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?SELL0.56$221.56
10-31 08:40Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?BUY0.21$6.30
10-31 08:34Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.813$81.30
10-30 19:52Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?BUY0.57$9.12
10-30 19:22Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?BUY0.55$22.00
10-30 19:21Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?BUY0.55$5.50
10-30 17:45France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?BUY0.993$99.30