0xE9085651A7FFc1677ECc239D1B9dE9DdEA6076dE-1768573809692
0xe9085651a7ffc1677ecc239d1b9de9ddea6076de
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $11.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar21.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.253AWS service disrupted by March 31?
- +$109.96at 0.623AWS service disrupted by April 30?
- +$71.15at 0.556AWS service disrupted by June 30?
- +$14.00at 0.720Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$11.00at 0.321Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 03:55 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-24 20:16 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 06-11 05:38 | AWS service disrupted by June 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $143.32 |
| 05-28 17:27 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $6.24 |
| 05-27 17:46 | AWS service disrupted by June 30? | SELL | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 05-27 01:03 | AWS service disrupted by June 30? | SELL | 0.8136185061 | $31.48 |
| 05-25 18:03 | AWS service disrupted by June 30? | SELL | 0.7018281536 | $30.71 |
| 05-24 20:35 | AWS service disrupted by June 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $10.83 |
| 05-24 20:35 | AWS service disrupted by June 30? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 05-24 20:34 | AWS service disrupted by June 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $24.80 |
| 05-21 02:08 | AWS service disrupted by June 30? | BUY | 0.58 | $23.19 |
| 05-15 01:04 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 15? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 05-15 00:23 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 15? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 05-14 18:00 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 14? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 05-13 03:15 | AWS service disrupted by June 30? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |