0xe906ad9d3fc7e457C8F16152a2C3962017a2b1D4-1724703905105
0xe906ad9d3fc7e457c8f16152a2c3962017a2b1d4
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $359.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar60.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1win FDV above $30M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.950 | 1.000 | $219.90 | +$10.89 |
| 1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.900 | 1.000 | $129.94 | +$12.94 |
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.005 | 0.001 | $10.08 | −$87.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.397Pavel Durov released in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:55 | 1win FDV above $30M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $285.00 |
| 10-31 18:06 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 21:59 | Pavel Durov released in August? | BUY | 0.3974400781 | $1.6k |