F1NBA
0xe8e7f2eb64a5240fc80462fa802abff42b8710c0
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $252.9k
- Markets traded
- 282
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded282
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.894 | 0.729 | $504.26 | −$114.33 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.861 | 0.830 | $217.53 | −$8.21 |
| APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.976 | $195.20 | −$0.60 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.900 | 0.890 | $178.00 | −$2.00 |
| APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.938 | 0.955 | $58.63 | +$1.00 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$505.27at 0.744Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or higher on April 3?
- +$468.15at 0.470Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers
- +$455.74at 0.724Thunder vs. Lakers
- +$441.40at 0.460Knicks vs. 76ers
- +$317.00at 0.547Knicks vs. Nuggets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 07:30 | StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.69 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 01:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4400754962 | $88.02 |
| 06-12 11:23 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 00:37 | APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 05-12 23:50 | GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.943 | $94.95 |
| 05-07 02:28 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 05-07 01:40 | 76ers vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.05125 | $4.10 |
| 05-06 23:49 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.26 | $20.80 |
| 05-05 23:36 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 05-04 13:16 | APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9381393456 | $57.63 |
| 05-04 01:49 | Raptors vs. Cavaliers | SELL | 0.013 | $3.90 |
| 05-04 00:54 | Raptors vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 05-04 00:49 | Raptors vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 05-03 01:40 | 76ers vs. Celtics | SELL | 0.62 | $124.00 |
| 05-03 00:35 | 76ers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |