0xe8e3d8101f798d9cb9cb22713ac57e36c19cd0f9
- Realised P&L
- $-261.92
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $22.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $19.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.051 | $2.75 | +$0.76 |
| Rutgers vs. Boston College · Rutgers | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Boston College (-3.5) · Rutgers | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.02at 0.273Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
- +$27.00at 0.550Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)
- +$18.82at 0.595Spread: Auburn (-7.5)
- +$15.61at 0.407Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'
- +$15.11at 0.584Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-5.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 21:02 | Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.037 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 12:59 | Spread: Boston College (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5399999927 | $32.50 |
| 09-09 12:58 | Rutgers vs. Boston College | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 18:30 | Spread: Auburn (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5599999957 | $26.00 |
| 08-29 22:13 | Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 22:13 | Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin' | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 16:51 | Spread: Virginia (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 16:51 | Spread: Virginia (-5.5) | SELL | 0.53 | $19.63 |
| 08-29 16:51 | Spread: Virginia (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 16:50 | North Carolina State vs. Virginia | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 17:16 | Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 17:15 | Will Ludvig Åberg win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.0684 | $5.13 |
| 08-11 21:47 | Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999948 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 13:39 | Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 02-07 06:15 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |