PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE8dd48a3DE37e9288E693Fbe9DB7e325F79203E2-1775421109087

0xe8dd48a3de37e9288e693fbe9db7e325f79203e2

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$44.6k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$3.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.0200.016$3.26$0.74
Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.0070.001$0.42$5.58
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00$337.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 17:48Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.0196582377$4.00
08-30 17:45Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.0069914248$5.00
08-29 19:46Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.008$1.00
04-15 21:06Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.1432512923$337.38
04-13 00:44Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.1861327321$3.8k
04-05 21:42Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0652586511$150.00
04-05 21:35Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0547645225$50.00
04-05 21:32Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0548433041$70.00
04-05 21:32Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0546267157$30.00
04-05 21:29Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0523650671$101.00
04-05 21:27Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0504205793$99.87
04-05 21:13Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0473120802$99.00
04-05 21:07Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0453248999$81.47
04-05 21:06Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0438519558$100.00
04-05 20:54Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0380219074$100.00