0xE8dd48a3DE37e9288E693Fbe9DB7e325F79203E2-1775421109087
0xe8dd48a3de37e9288e693fbe9db7e325f79203e2
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $44.6k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $3.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.016 | $3.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $0.42 | −$5.58 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$337.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.048Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 17:48 | Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.0196582377 | $4.00 |
| 08-30 17:45 | Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.0069914248 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 19:46 | Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 21:06 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1432512923 | $337.38 |
| 04-13 00:44 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1861327321 | $3.8k |
| 04-05 21:42 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0652586511 | $150.00 |
| 04-05 21:35 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0547645225 | $50.00 |
| 04-05 21:32 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0548433041 | $70.00 |
| 04-05 21:32 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0546267157 | $30.00 |
| 04-05 21:29 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0523650671 | $101.00 |
| 04-05 21:27 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0504205793 | $99.87 |
| 04-05 21:13 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0473120802 | $99.00 |
| 04-05 21:07 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0453248999 | $81.47 |
| 04-05 21:06 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0438519558 | $100.00 |
| 04-05 20:54 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0380219074 | $100.00 |