limit.py
0xe8d5557b315841f75a87be94eaeb8c27c5f21cba
- Realised P&L
- $-87.02
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $3.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.565 | $2.99 | +$0.34 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? · Down | 0.485 | 0.041 | $0.17 | −$1.83 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6AM ET · Down | 0.593 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$169.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.56at 0.517Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
- +$76.01at 0.528Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
- +$64.18at 0.680Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3PM ET
- +$57.39at 0.789Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?
- +$20.11at 0.837Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.5925735631 | $169.16 |
| 09-18 10:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18? | SELL | 0.3800209205 | $181.65 |
| 09-18 03:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.7484836152 | $327.58 |
| 09-18 03:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.42 | $153.84 |
| 09-18 03:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22? | SELL | 0.84 | $188.76 |
| 09-18 03:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.7429999946 | $29.98 |
| 09-17 17:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.909999994 | $9.13 |
| 09-17 12:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 19? | SELL | 0.74 | $9.34 |
| 09-16 22:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.97 |
| 09-16 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.4814541688 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 22:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.1941888576 | $32.45 |
| 09-16 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |