0xe8d3bd3a2c6abdb2c863cedddbc00118e0470029
0xe8d3bd3a2c6abdb2c863cedddbc00118e0470029
- Realised P&L
- $3.76
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $1.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-22? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.325 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Denis Yevseyev · Denis Yevseyev | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 1? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Down | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.95at 0.957Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?
- +$3.41at 0.394Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-09-16?
- +$3.35at 0.814Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$3.16at 0.615Will FK Rodina Moskva vs. FK Rubin Kazan end in a draw?
- +$2.94at 0.635Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:12 | Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 15:34 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? | SELL | 0.76 | $2.81 |
| 09-20 07:11 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8099999856 | $14.59 |
| 09-19 20:26 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8499999966 | $12.49 |
| 09-18 04:46 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 04:44 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 04:43 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 17:26 | Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.0024209688 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:23 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 20:26 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.92 |
| 09-16 20:26 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:22 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.93 | $20.50 |
| 09-16 20:22 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.77 |
| 09-16 19:31 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 19:16 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |