PolyBot

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Traders

0xe8d3bd3a2c6abdb2c863cedddbc00118e0470029

0xe8d3bd3a2c6abdb2c863cedddbc00118e0470029

Realised P&L
$3.76
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$1.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-22? · Yes0.3000.325$1.08+$0.08
Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Denis Yevseyev · Denis Yevseyev0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 1? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$2.00
Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 16:12Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-22?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-20 15:34Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?SELL0.76$2.81
09-20 07:11Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8099999856$14.59
09-19 20:26Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.8499999966$12.49
09-18 04:46Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-18 04:44Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5799999768$5.00
09-18 04:43Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
09-17 17:26Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.0024209688$1.00
09-17 17:23Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
09-16 20:26Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.95$20.92
09-16 20:26Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-16 20:22Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.93$20.50
09-16 20:22Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.04$0.77
09-16 19:31Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.4299999991$5.00
09-16 19:16Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.2599999896$5.00