0xe8d16a83134e8d8207baac099dff2c7305c63eb9
0xe8d16a83134e8d8207baac099dff2c7305c63eb9
- Realised P&L
- $821.97
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $148.68
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 5? · Down | 0.880 | 1.000 | $148.60 | +$17.77 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 5? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$55.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 5? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$7.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$314.55at 0.104Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on September 30?
- +$218.77at 0.319Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on September 14?
- +$155.76at 0.278Will Meta (META) close above $750 on September 23?
- +$128.83at 0.196S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25?
- +$101.44at 0.336S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:50 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 5? | BUY | 0.349999999 | $55.08 |
| 10-05 16:45 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 5? | BUY | 0.3599999959 | $7.03 |
| 10-05 16:20 | Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.88 | $130.83 |
| 10-02 18:15 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 2? | BUY | 0.31 | $43.40 |
| 10-02 16:40 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9189999998 | $272.49 |
| 10-02 14:05 | Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of September 28 above $350? | BUY | 0.92 | $190.44 |
| 10-02 14:00 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9459999998 | $114.72 |
| 09-30 18:55 | Will Meta (META) close above $730 on September 30? | BUY | 0.2299999987 | $28.80 |
| 09-30 18:55 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $35.09 |
| 09-30 18:25 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on September 30? | BUY | 0.4196600293 | $68.88 |
| 09-30 17:15 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on September 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.95 |
| 09-28 17:36 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on September 28? | BUY | 0.378999972 | $3.89 |
| 09-28 16:31 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on September 28? | BUY | 0.2999999985 | $40.30 |
| 09-28 15:01 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on September 28? | BUY | 0.2 | $26.46 |
| 09-28 13:36 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 28? | BUY | 0.2 | $33.18 |