PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE8D15A75B4450d14923210777e6008CEe57af54b-1782068055250

0xe8d15a75b4450d14923210777e6008cee57af54b

Realised P&L
$-45.56
Volume
$31.9k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$15.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will XRP reach $2.20 in October? · Yes0.1160.025$10.82−$40.18
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in October? · Yes0.0490.042$4.23−$0.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up0.7400.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Up0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Up0.7900.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.1600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 17:38Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.061244488$5.00
10-06 17:32Will XRP reach $2.20 in October?BUY0.1155103832$51.00
10-06 17:31Will XRP dip to $1.00 in October?BUY0.0489999997$5.00
10-06 17:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.04$5.00
08-21 12:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
08-21 12:04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
08-20 20:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
08-20 19:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.02$5.00
08-20 19:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETSELL0.8122990759$58.01
08-20 19:28Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.0699999874$5.00
08-20 13:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.0792079208$5.00
08-20 13:31Will XRP reach $2.00 in August?BUY0.0113930415$5.00
08-20 13:31Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?BUY0.004$5.00
08-20 13:29Will XRP reach $1.40 in August?SELL0.133$62.21
08-18 03:57Will XRP reach $1.40 in August?BUY0.0118008133$5.52