PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

non-bhakt

0xe8d0de1500ec3018a9e06dda7c2239102fcc0cae

Realised P&L
$479.30
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$12.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar15.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2080.055$12.69$35.41
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? · No0.1800.000$0.00$199.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 19:46Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?BUY0.2084399477$48.10
09-23 18:14Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.18$199.89
08-15 08:40Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.2599999967$39.89
05-15 10:45Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?BUY0.4399999962$36.87
11-01 22:32Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4039999938$21.96
06-04 14:25Indian election: NDA wins 400+ seats?SELL0.97$18.41
06-03 17:00Indian election: NDA wins 400+ seats?BUY0.7899999989$15.00
06-03 17:00Indian Election: Will BJP win a majority of seats?BUY0.0819999928$10.00
06-03 16:59Will the NDA win 300-325 seats?BUY0.0943877535$50.00
06-03 13:59Will the NDA win less than 300 seats?BUY0.0699999987$49.99