non-bhakt
0xe8d0de1500ec3018a9e06dda7c2239102fcc0cae
- Realised P&L
- $479.30
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $12.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.055 | $12.69 | −$35.41 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$199.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$664.15at 0.070Will the NDA win less than 300 seats?
- +$111.95at 0.082Indian Election: Will BJP win a majority of seats?
- +$46.93at 0.440Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$3.42at 0.790Indian election: NDA wins 400+ seats?
- +$-21.96at 0.404Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 19:46 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.2084399477 | $48.10 |
| 09-23 18:14 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $199.89 |
| 08-15 08:40 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.2599999967 | $39.89 |
| 05-15 10:45 | Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399999962 | $36.87 |
| 11-01 22:32 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4039999938 | $21.96 |
| 06-04 14:25 | Indian election: NDA wins 400+ seats? | SELL | 0.97 | $18.41 |
| 06-03 17:00 | Indian election: NDA wins 400+ seats? | BUY | 0.7899999989 | $15.00 |
| 06-03 17:00 | Indian Election: Will BJP win a majority of seats? | BUY | 0.0819999928 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 16:59 | Will the NDA win 300-325 seats? | BUY | 0.0943877535 | $50.00 |
| 06-03 13:59 | Will the NDA win less than 300 seats? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $49.99 |