Vegeta84
0xe8bc0c8413a40d0fb5a82a67253a1b8a38559a13
- Realised P&L
- $-609.73
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $327.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.020 | $190.80 | −$523.80 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.035 | $136.35 | −$313.65 |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-597.53at 0.154Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 19:13 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999958 | $15.00 |
| 08-24 19:13 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |
| 08-24 19:11 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.025807353 | $100.00 |
| 08-24 19:09 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.038 | $190.40 |
| 06-08 09:40 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0739917866 | $143.62 |
| 06-08 09:40 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1004060852 | $178.00 |
| 04-03 08:42 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999995 | $223.00 |
| 03-24 11:51 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $90.00 |
| 03-24 11:51 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1152317105 | $80.00 |
| 03-24 11:46 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999978 | $53.00 |
| 03-13 14:30 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999988 | $117.00 |
| 03-13 14:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 02-24 19:53 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $63.00 |
| 02-24 19:52 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $550.00 |
| 02-17 11:20 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999975 | $45.00 |