real46CHANCE-6EB6DFD742ACE611
0xe8b4510f78a9af7e16d3dae414c6874fe4dc476b
- Realised P&L
- $-102.13
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 396
- Open portfolio
- $173.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded396
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.38at 0.575Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-15?
- +$5.71at 0.259Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 28?
- +$4.32at 0.582Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?
- +$3.14at 0.430Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 25?
- +$2.68at 0.497Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:42 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999844 | $30.46 |
| 10-01 04:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9979168399 | $60.00 |
| 10-01 04:38 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 10-01 04:38 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 18:46 | Will XRP reach $2.40 in September? | BUY | 0.997999676 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 18:46 | Will Solana dip to $70 in September? | BUY | 0.9989999806 | $49.00 |
| 09-28 18:43 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 18:43 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-26 15:27 | Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 15:27 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on September 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-26 15:26 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-26 15:25 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on September 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-26 05:53 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-26 05:52 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-26 05:52 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |