real46CHANCE-6EB6DFD742ACE611
0xe8b4510f78a9af7e16d3dae414c6874fe4dc476b
- Realised P&L
- $-103.66
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 328
- Open portfolio
- $169.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded328
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.38at 0.575Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-15?
- +$5.71at 0.259Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 28?
- +$4.32at 0.582Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?
- +$3.14at 0.430Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 25?
- +$2.68at 0.497Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 05:57 | Will Troyes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 05:53 | Will the price of Solana be above $20 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 05:50 | Will Solana dip to $10 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 06:43 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.9925186843 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 20:48 | Will the price of Solana be above $30 on July 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 21:39 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on July 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $70.00 |
| 07-25 06:11 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 21:51 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.00 |
| 07-22 21:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 07-21 14:54 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on July 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 07-21 14:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on July 23? | BUY | 0.9990000009 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 15:57 | Will the price of Solana be above $40 on July 21? | BUY | 0.998999976 | $40.00 |
| 07-14 21:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on July 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 21:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $30.09 |
| 07-13 18:34 | Will the price of Solana be above $40 on July 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |