PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

real46CHANCE-6EB6DFD742ACE611

0xe8b4510f78a9af7e16d3dae414c6874fe4dc476b

Realised P&L
$-102.13
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
396
Open portfolio
$173.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded396
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes0.9981.000$60.09+$0.10
Will Deportivo La Coruña qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · No0.9450.948$40.10+$0.10
Will FC Barcelona qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.9530.976$30.70+$0.70
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9880.989$30.48+$0.02
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on October 2? · Yes0.9990.997$11.97−$0.03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 3? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 1? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21? · Yes0.4520.000$0.00−$60.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 3? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31? · Yes0.9970.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06? · No0.7650.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 04:42Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9879999844$30.46
10-01 04:39Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2?BUY0.9979168399$60.00
10-01 04:38Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on October 2?BUY0.999$6.00
10-01 04:38Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on October 2?BUY0.999$6.00
09-28 18:46Will XRP reach $2.40 in September?BUY0.997999676$3.00
09-28 18:46Will Solana dip to $70 in September?BUY0.9989999806$49.00
09-28 18:43Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 30?BUY0.999$6.00
09-28 18:43Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 30?BUY0.999$6.00
09-26 15:27Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 27?BUY0.999$10.00
09-26 15:27Will the price of Solana be above $90 on September 27?BUY0.999$6.00
09-26 15:26Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 28?BUY0.999$6.00
09-26 15:25Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on September 27?BUY0.999$6.00
09-26 05:53Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 27?BUY0.999$6.00
09-26 05:52Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 28?BUY0.999$6.00
09-26 05:52Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 27?BUY0.999$6.00