CRSKY
0xe8b1d4f119405ccf0c53666d16e5af2080595dc6
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $180.8k
- Markets traded
- 629
- Open portfolio
- $29.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded629
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.318 | 0.977 | $27.85 | +$18.79 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.870 | 1.000 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.407 | 0.003 | $0.08 | −$12.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29? · Yes | 0.474 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.82 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$328.27at 0.056Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?
- +$207.94at 0.135Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5?
- +$204.82at 0.454Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
- +$201.23at 0.061Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
- +$153.07at 0.652Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 11-01 13:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 13:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 12:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 11:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 15:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 10-31 13:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 10-31 13:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 10-31 12:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.0095803657 | $0.50 |
| 10-31 10:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.68 | $24.72 |
| 10-31 09:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 10-31 09:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.06 |
| 10-31 09:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.57 |
| 10-31 09:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |