PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CRSKY

0xe8b1d4f119405ccf0c53666d16e5af2080595dc6

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$180.8k
Markets traded
629
Open portfolio
$29.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded629
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2? · Yes0.3180.977$27.85+$18.79
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? · Yes0.8701.000$1.15+$0.15
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2? · Yes0.4070.003$0.08−$12.32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29? · Yes0.4740.000$0.00−$7.82
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$32.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 14:02Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2?BUY0.34$3.40
11-01 13:58Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2?BUY0.419999979$2.00
11-01 13:56Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
11-01 12:06Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
11-01 11:36Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2?BUY0.449999964$5.00
11-01 04:47Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
10-31 15:38Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.75$3.75
10-31 13:27Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.75$3.75
10-31 13:18Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.73$14.60
10-31 12:49Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 1?SELL0.0095803657$0.50
10-31 10:05Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?SELL0.68$24.72
10-31 09:23Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.69$3.45
10-31 09:20Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 1?SELL0.011$0.06
10-31 09:20Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 1?BUY0.01$0.57
10-31 09:18Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.7$7.00